Wednesday 17 June 2020

Indian Temperature Scenario: “No Global Warming Trend”_Biogeneric Publishers



Abstract
Indian climate is highly variable in space and time. Temperature is a part of it. It is influenced by several localized and regionalized factors such as oceans/seas on three sides (South, East & West), mighty Himalayan Mountain Ranges in the North; other hill ranges such as Western Ghats, Water Resources, etc. They as such don’t contribute to trend in temperature. Some of these are changed by mankind to meet their needs & greed under increasing population. Human induced changes in terms of land use and land cover do contribute to trend in temperature but they are mostly localized or at the most regionalized changes only. These are clearly reflected in Indian temperatures. Several groups studied Indian temperatures using seasonal, annual & decadal of maximum, minimum & mean at station, state & country levels. One such study claims there is 1.2 oC/100 years increase in Indian annual average temperature; another major study showed the trends varying from < 0.0 to around 1.5 oC over different parts in India. In India on the northwest the Thar Desert and on the northeast humid zone form the major heat wave and the cold wave zones. South-central zones present dry areas with higher temperature regime. Scientific groups are not interested to talk on the local-regional-national level variations in the temperature that affect agriculture. Truly speaking there is no global warming as such in Indian temperature. One must remember the fact that the location data is affected by several localized factors. Thus local and regional and thus national averages give contradicting inferences.

Keywords: Global warming; climate change; heat & cold waves; heat & cold islands; climate system & general circulation patterns

Introduction
There has been a high-pitch “hue and cry” around the world on the so-called “global warming and its impacts”. This propaganda has been directly or indirectly affecting the national economies, agriculture and irrigation; and thus knowingly and unknowingly that has been affecting people below the poverty line around the world. Globally several agencies have been taking part in this mischievous propaganda in which some are showing graphs by manipulating historical temperature data series and some others doing the propaganda by spending huge sums. On both sides’ business houses, NGOs, Multinational Companies, International Agencies like UN Organizations, World Bank, IMF, etc. have been involved with vested interests. This is clearly reflected in USA President’s cancellation of funds to WHO a UN body. Politicians around the world became pawns in this game. They are not interested to talk on the local-regional-national level variations in climate that includes temperature that affect agriculture.


In this process, at COP-21 the target was fixed for global warming as 1.5 to 2.0 oC; and fixed for green fund as $100 billion per year for five years – COP-25 in Madrid in December 2019 failed in reaching an agreement to share the meagre collections and posted for COP-26 to be held in Glasgow in Scotland on 9-18th November 2020, which is now postponed to 2021 with Covid-19. With the USA government’s withdrawal from this group the funds flow has come down drastically; and thus pro-global warming groups started attacking Trump and his government left and right but Trump hasn’t changed his opinion/policy even an inch. At this stage those pro-global warming groups brought in a well-trained young Swedish Girl. To counter her, a German teenage girl was roped in. The Swedish girl has been making loud statements including attacking Trump, the US President and getting awards/rewards with no or little knowledge on the science of climate and the science of climate change, at least what the IPCC or UNFCCC or WMO said in their respective reports. For her it is global warming and carbon credits. Here she invariably uses the word “climate change” as de-facto “global warming”, as she is shy of using the word global warming. Sometimes the global warming groups using “human caused or induced climate change”. However, according to IPCC’s AR5 all that caused by humans is not global warming. Therefore, we must demand those pro-global warming groups, use the word “global warming” and not “climate change” as climate change is a vast subject and climate covers several meteorological parameters.

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